Wong's Met Office of Hong Kong 黃家香港氣象局(Youtube Tour)

infrared image (click for HRES) with GFS analysis:

ECMWF forecasts:

GFS ENSEMBLE STATISTICS

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ECMWF Tropical Cyclones 2019012012:
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ECMWF ENSEMBLE Tropical Cyclones and Disturbances 2019012012:
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Page Updated: 2019-01-20T23:12:05UTC